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Weather Update

 

 

The updated Hurricane outlook calls for a 70% probability for each of the following ranges of activity during the 2018 hurricane season, which runs from June 1st through November 30th:
9-13 Named Storms, which includes the three named storms to date
4-7 Hurricanes, which includes the two hurricanes to date
0-2 Major Hurricanes
 
Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) range of 50%-100% of the median, which includes 16% ACE from the three named storms to date.
 
The seasonal activity is expected to fall within these ranges in 70% of seasons with similar conditions and uncertainties to those expected this year. These ranges do not represent the total possible ranges of activity seen in past similar years.
 
The predicted ranges are centered below the 1981-2010 season averages of about 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.
 
To date, the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season has produced 4 named storms, of which 2 became hurricanes. 
 
For the remainder of the season, we expect an additional 5-9 named storms, with 2-5 becoming hurricanes and 0-2 of those becoming major hurricanes.
 
 
 
 

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