We are included in an ENHANCED risk for severe weather beginning Wednesday afternoon and into mid morning on Thursday as shown on the just released graphic below. Graphic 2 shows the forecast amount of rainfall anticipated. The amount has been increased from 3/4 of an inch to possible amounts of 2+ inches under the heavier T-storms. In addition to the heavy rain, High winds, large hail, and isolated tornadoes, some flooding is anticipated in low lying areas due to our recent rains.
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to move into East Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, and extreme Southwest Arkansas after daybreak Wednesday morning, but should intensify during the afternoon. Numerous severe thunderstorms are expected to develop by mid to late afternoon Wednesday over East Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, Southwest Arkansas, and Western Louisiana, and gradually shift east northeast across Southcentral Arkansas and North Central Louisiana during the evening and overnight hours. Should the severe weather parameters continue to increase, a portion of the Enhanced Risk area may be upgraded to a Moderate Risk in later updates from the NWS Storm Prediction Center.