It looks like a dryline will continue to slowly move South-Southeastward across the Southern Plains towards the Gulf Coast today. This has just enough vertical height to support scattered convection through much of this early morning along a weak front over southern Arkansas and NorthWest La. Thunderstorms have shown signs of developing back to the west over the last couple of hours. We have plenty of moisture with the right combination to have popup showers here, but these will likely hold off until tomorrow for us. Keep aware of the weather as this could change quickly.

Several weather models indicate the moisture gradient will tighten some today making the front more defined. With that....the front should continue to act as a focus for isolated to scattered t-storms especially during peak heating. No Severe weather threat is expected, but some gusty winds can be seen in and near the T-storms. This activity should dissipate through the evening hours with the loss of the day's heating. 

More substantial rain chances are expected to return to Deep East Texas beginning on Friday and into the weekend. Southerly flow aloft returns as the upper level HIGH over West Texas breaks down and moves across the Central Plains. At the surface...southeasterly flow from the Gulf will increase. a cold front should be well northwest of US...but scattered convection will be possible area wide for much of the weekend and continuing into the beginning of next week. Our moisture content is drying to near the 3 inch depth and some of this light moisture is welcome as long as it does not become widespread and heavy in flooding areas especially where levees are full and conservation reservoirs like Sam Rayburn begin to release flood waters at higher rates. but yet holding them at full status.
 

Tom JohnsonKTXSANAU6